Major League Soccer

Sep 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Dallas

Sullivan (25')
Mbaizo (21'), Bueno (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Velasco (36')
Velasco (28'), Twumasi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Dallas

Subaru Park is one of the most challenging places for opposing teams to come away with three points, and this will be a match where both teams have a lot to play for, even though the Union have already clinched a playoff berth. The scoring depth of Philly should be enough to get them over the line against a Toros squad who do not have as many dependable attacking pieces.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Dallas
63.24% ( -0.09)	21% ( 0.02)	15.76% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-0)

45.92% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-0)

68.23% (

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

-0.03)

13.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.72% (

-0.05)

41.28% (

0.05)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02% (

0.08)

41.98% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

0.07)

78.41% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 63.24%

Dallas 15.76%

Draw 21%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 63.24%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.76%