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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FC Dallas

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Dallas

Sullivan (25')
Mbaizo (21'), Bueno (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Velasco (36')
Velasco (28'), Twumasi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Dallas

Subaru Park is one of the most challenging places for opposing teams to come away with three points, and this will be a match where both teams have a lot to play for, even though the Union have already clinched a playoff berth. The scoring depth of Philly should be enough to get them over the line against a Toros squad who do not have as many dependable attacking pieces.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
63.24% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 21% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 15.76% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)13.87% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)41.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065000000000001 0.07)78.41% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.24%
    Dallas 15.76%
    Draw 21%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.76%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Dallas

Philadelphia Union
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Dallas
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 2am
Feb 29, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 2
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Ondrasek (61'), Pomykal (90')
Ondrasek (86')

Real (26'), Glesnes (59'), Creavalle (67'), Santos (84')
Apr 7, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Philadelphia
2-1
Dallas
Burke (85'), Bedoya (92')
Fabian (9')
Ziegler (10')
Ziegler (85')
Apr 22, 2018 1am
Gameweek 9
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Diaz (64' pen.), Urruti (74')
Hayes (17')

Medunjanin (92')
Aug 6, 2017 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
Dallas
Sapong (17', 68'), Ilsinho (22')
Ilsinho (64')
Barrios (92')
Cermeno (45'), Hedges (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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