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Tigres
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Orlando City

Tigres
4 - 2
Orlando City

Flores (13'), Gignac (20' pen.), Gallese (68' og.), Cordova (81')
Gignac (23'), Ibanez (89')
Carioca (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Torres (24' pen.), Ojeda (90+1' pen.)
Jansson (18'), Lodeiro (31'), Smith (30'), Cartagena (49')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Tigres and Orlando City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: America 2-0 Tigres
Sunday, March 10 at 3am in Liga MX

Orlando City

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawOrlando City
57.38% (0.433 0.43) 23.9% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 18.71% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 46.95% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.405 -0.41)53% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.347 -0.35)74.6% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)18.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (-0.7 -0.7)42.54% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (-0.605 -0.6)78.9% (0.60299999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 57.37%
    Orlando City 18.71%
    Draw 23.89%
TigresDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 11.22% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.37%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 18.71%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 2am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Orlando City
0-0
Tigres
Cartagena (26'), Dan Thor­halls­son (71'), Araujo (88')
Lainez (35')
rhs 2.0
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