Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Choiniere (45+2' pen.)
Choiniere (35'), Lassiter (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arfsten (19'), Rossi (59'), Hinestroza (89')
Camacho (41'), Schulte (45+1'), Yeboah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss. That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Columbus Crew
35.65% ( 0.01)	23.71% ( 0)	40.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.39% (

-0.01)

39.6% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.05% (

-0.01)

61.95% (

0.01)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

22.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

0.01)

55.65% (

-0.01)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

-0.01)

19.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

-0.02)

51.85% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 35.65%

Columbus Crew 40.65%

Draw 23.7%

CF Montreal	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.65%	1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.65%