Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.