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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Nashville

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Nashville

Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC

Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence. On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
47.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.15%
    Nashville SC 27.46%
    Draw 25.39%
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville

Charlotte FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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