Major League Soccer

May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
53.66% ( 2.35)	22.73% ( -0.45)	23.6% ( -1.9)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

0.2)

42.26% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

0.2)

64.67% (

-0.2)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27% (

0.9)

15.73% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.17% (

1.63)

44.82% (

-1.64)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-1.44)

31.57% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

-1.69)

67.97% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 53.66%

Atlanta United 23.6%

Draw 22.73%

Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.6%