Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Atlanta

Kelsy (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Slisz (23'), Giakoumakis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Atlanta United

Cincinnati are in scintillating form at the moment and will feel it is the right time to get their first ever home win over Atlanta, who struggle on the road. We expect the home side to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
53.78% ( -0.14)	22.6% ( 0.25)	23.62% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 58.15% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

-1.3)

41.63% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-1.32)

64.03% (

1.32)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53% (

-0.5)

15.47% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66% (

-0.94)

44.34% (

0.94)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.81)

31.21% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

-0.95)

67.55% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.78%

Atlanta United 23.62%

Draw 22.6%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.78%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 23.62%