Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Rodriguez (43' pen.)
Sands (15'), Gray (50'), Parks (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiare (65')
Williams (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Atlanta United

Three of the last four meetings between these two have ended in a draw, and given Atlanta's attacking woes away from home and the Pigeons' inability to put a match away, we are projecting another one on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
52.1% ( -0.01)	23.17%	24.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

0.01)

43.08% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

0.01)

65.48% (

-0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43%

16.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

-0)

46.36% (

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

0.02)

31.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

0.02)

67.4% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.1%

Atlanta United 24.73%

Draw 23.16%

New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.1%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.73%