Major League Soccer

Mar 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 1
Toronto

Rodriguez (24'), O'Toole (64')
Risa (42'), Parks (63'), Sands (90+5'), Haak (90+3')
Parks (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marshall-Rutty (7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Toronto

The Pigeons showed flashes of brilliance at home to Portland last weekend but have not convinced us they can find that killer instinct, which is why we believe an upstart Toronto side can go to the Bronx and come away with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
63.72% ( 0)	21.08% ( 0)	15.2%

Both teams to score 48.42% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

-0)

47.32% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0)

69.55% (

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82%

14.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.13%

41.87% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.42% (

-0)

43.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.22% (

-0)

79.78% (

Score Analysis

New York City FC 63.7%

Toronto 15.2%

Draw 21.08%

New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.7%	1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.2%