Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
2 - 0
NY City

Pompeu (34'), Adeniran (72')
Markanich (21'), Vassilev (41'), Totland (45+3'), Durkin (82'), Ostrak (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perea (28'), Sands (51'), Ilencic (88')
Sands (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: St Louis City 1-0 New York City FC

St Louis always seem to find a way to win at home, while the Pigeons might need some time to find that creativity which could unlock opposing defences. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	New York City FC
39.21% ( -0.23)	26.81% ( 0.2)	33.97% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

-0.82)

53.81% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

-0.69)

75.28% (

0.69)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.51)

26.81% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-0.67)

62.1% (

0.67)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

-0.39)

29.94% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

-0.47)

66.05% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 39.2%

New York City FC 33.97%

Draw 26.81%

St Louis City	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.97%