St Louis City4 - 1Kansas
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
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We said: St Louis City 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
Buoyed by their impressive performance against Minnesota, St Louis City will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to finish the regular season strong. While Sporting Kansas have been solid at home, their form on the road is currently nothing to write home about and we see Carnell's side snatching all three points once again.How to watch
You can watch St Louis City vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
45.2% ( 0.01) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 31.74% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.33% ( -0.05) | 37.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( -0.06) | 59.92% ( 0.06) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.7% ( -0.03) | 47.3% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.04) | 23.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.05) | 57.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.18% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 31.74% |
