We said: Inter Miami 1-2 Sporting Kansas City
Even without Messi, Miami still have some quality players, but not having Yedlin or Callender could make it difficult for them to contain a well-balanced Kansas City attack.
Sporting are in good form at the moment and should be just as desperate as the Herons this weekend, and with the majority of their squad available, we expect them to have the upper hand on Saturday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.