Major League Soccer

Sep 4, 2023 at 3am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
1 - 3
Inter Miami

Hollingshead (90')
Bogusz (2'), Palacios (76'), Murillo (79'), Bouanga (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Farias (14'), Alba (51'), Campana (83')
Yedlin (63'), Farias (72'), Gomez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-3 Inter Miami

On paper, Los Angeles may be superior to Inter Miami in many statistical categories, but the Herons have one element that no other MLS club can boast, Lionel Messi. His presence has almost single-handedly turned the Miami fortunes around this season, while he has brought out the best in so many players on this team since arriving from Paris Saint-Germain, and we expect to see Messi and his former Barcelona teammates (Busquets and Alba) make all the difference for them on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Inter Miami
68.66% ( -0.18)	17.35% ( 0.08)	13.98% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 58.51% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38% (

-0.21)

32.62% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72% (

-0.25)

54.28% (

0.24)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.36% (

-0.1)

8.64% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.2% (

-0.23)

29.8% (

0.23)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04% (

-0.01)

35.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26% (

-0.01)

72.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 68.66%

Inter Miami 13.98%

Draw 17.35%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 68.66%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.35%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 13.98%