Major League Soccer

Sep 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 2
St Louis City

Pukki (48' pen.)
St Clair (20'), Gregus (31'), Boxall (79'), Taylor (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Klauss (64'), Blom (73')
Yaro (29'), Burki (47'), Bell (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Los Angeles
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 1-3 St Louis City

Minnesota boss Heath has highlighted his side's final three home matches as crucial games in deciding their regular-season fate, but a clash with the Western Conference leaders is set to be very challenging. St Louis will have a weight off their shoulders after officially clinching their place in the playoffs last time out, and we believe this extra freedom will help Carnell's men earn their first maximum of September.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	St Louis City
63.93% ( -0)	19.84%	16.22%

Both teams to score 54.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.18% (

-0)

39.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82%

62.18% (

-0)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

-0)

11.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.98% (

-0)

37.01%

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.33%

37.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56%

74.44% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 63.93%

St Louis City 16.22%

Draw 19.84%

Minnesota United	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.9% Total : 63.93%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.84% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.84%	1-2 @ 4.53% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.22%