Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
4 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Minnesota United

LA Galaxy will be determined to claim all three points to assist in their playoff bid, but we think that they will be held to a draw by Minnesota, who have avoided defeat in each of their last four MLS away matches.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
58.57% ( -0.02)	20.11% ( 0)	21.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.96% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.39% (

0.01)

32.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.73% (

0.02)

54.27% (

-0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.95% (

-0)

11.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.61% (

-0)

35.39% (

-0)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.02)

28.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

0.03)

63.77% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 58.57%

Minnesota United 21.31%

Draw 20.11%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.57%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 21.31%