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Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 These encounters have traditionally been high-scoring affairs with five or more goals in three of the last four competitive meetings between the two, and given the defensive struggles of each, we might be in for another goal fest this weekend. LAFC have not played up to their potential in recent outings, but the Galaxy have consistently dug themselves a deficit, and it will be a lot harder to overcome that against one of the top defensive units in MLS this season.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
66.19% (1.042 1.04) 18.04% (-0.464 -0.46) 15.77% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.69% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68% (1.118 1.12)31.99% (-1.123 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.44% (1.295 1.3)53.56% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97% (0.54299999999999 0.54)9.03% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26% (1.294 1.29)30.74% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.040000000000006 0.04)33.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.044 0.04)69.9% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 15.77%
    Draw 18.04%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.16 0.16)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.22% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.124 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.95% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.77%

Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles  
vs.
  LA Galaxy
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
LA Galaxy
2-3
Los Angeles
Boyd (41'), Delgado (84')
Vela (22', 68'), Hollingshead (70')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Cifuentes (17', 70'), Arango (72')
Grandsir (55'), Raveloson (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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