We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC
At this stage of the year, the odds of Portland making the postseason may be long, but we expect them to make it interesting down the homestretch as they have responded well since a 5-0 loss cost Giovanni Savarese his job.
The Black and Gold, meanwhile, are missing some significant pieces on defence and in the attack, while their away form has not been sharp all season.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.