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[monks data]
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Los Angeles FC

Portland
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arango (27' pen.)

Preview: Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Los Angeles FC will go in search of a fourth consecutive MLS win when they travel to Portland Timbers on Sunday.

The Black and Gold currently sit seventh in the Western Conference, while the Timbers are one point better off in fifth.


Match preview

Los Angeles FC manager Bob Bradley on May 9, 2021 © Reuters

Danny Musovski scored an 81st-minute winner as LAFC beat Austin 2-1 on Wednesday, allowing them to move into a playoff spot in the process.

Bob Bradley's side have recovered from an eight-match winless streak in July and August and now appear to be peaking at just the right time as the final 10 fixtures of the regular season approach.

Only Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City have scored more goals in the Western Conference than LAFC (37), but just 11 of those have come away from home.

Moreover, before beating Austin last time out, the Black and Gold had lost four consecutive matches on the road.

Portland Timbers forward Felipe Mora (9) celebrates his goal with forward Dairon Asprilla (27) against the Minnesota United in the first half at Allianz Field on July 24, 2021© Reuters

Portland Timbers' 2-2 draw with Colorado Rapids on Wednesday brought to an end their own three-match winning streak.

The Oregon-based outfit twice trailed against Rapids, but Sebastian Blanco scored a 91st-minute equaliser to ensure they collected a point.

Giovanni Savarese's side have found the back of the net in each of their last 14 matches, but at the other end of the pitch they have conceded the most goals in the Western Conference (41).

These two sides will face each other again in California just 10 days after they meet at Providence Park, with the Timbers hosting Real Salt Lake and LAFC travelling to San Jose Earthquakes in between.

Felipe Mora scored a 93rd-minute winner as the Timbers beat LAFC 2-1 in July, which was their first victory over the Black and Gold in their last five meetings.

Portland Timbers Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Portland Timbers head coach Giovanni Savarese directs his team against Real Salt Lake during the first half at Providence Park on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Bill Tuiloma was sent off in Portland Timbers' draw with Colorado Rapids on Wednesday and is likely to be replaced by Jose Van Rankin at right-back.

George Fochive will be pushing for a recall after dropping to the bench in midweek, in what could be Giovanni Savarese's only other change.

Striker Felipe Mora has found the back of the net eight times in his last 13 appearances and will continue to lead the line for the Timbers.

Bob Bradley could name an unchanged LAFC side as he looks to continue the team's winning run.

The Black and Gold are missing several first team players, including captain Carlos Vela who suffered a hamstring injury in August.

Summer signing Cristian Arango has stepped up in Vela's absence, scoring five goals in his last four games.

Portland Timbers possible starting lineup:
Clark; Van Rankin, Mabiala, Zuparic, Bravo; Fochive, D. Chara; Y. Chara, Blanco, Asprilla; Mora

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Fall, Murillo, Farfan; Moon-Hwan, Ginella, Crisostomo, Edwards; Cifuentes; Arango, Rodriguez


SM words green background

We say: Portland Timbers 2-2 Los Angeles FC

With both teams in good form, this should be a tight and entertaining game in Oregon. Goals seem almost a certainty given the two sides' recent records, but we cannot separate them so think it will end level.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Portland vs Los Angeles

Portland Timbers
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Los Angeles FC
24.2%
33
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Bill Tuiloma of New Zealand walks out for the FIFA U-20 World Cup New Zealand 2015 Round of 16 match between Portugal and New Zealand at Waikato Stadium on June 11, 2015
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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