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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Minnesota United

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Cowell (16')
Gruezo (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pukki (4')
Reynoso (39'), Boxall (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United

With only goal difference to split them in the league table, there is likely going to be very little between these two teams at the weekend in what should be a competitive match. However, the recent run of Minnesota United coupled with their strong away form could be enough for them to just edge three points here.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
50.87% (-1.322 -1.32) 23.12% (0.307 0.31) 26% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)41.71% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)64.11% (0.507 0.51)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)16.51% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-1.19 -1.19)46.25% (1.183 1.18)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.515 0.52)29.34% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (0.629 0.63)65.32% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 50.87%
    Minnesota United 26%
    Draw 23.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia5401126612
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC5311104610
3Inter MiamiInter Miami431094510
4Nashville SCNashville531183510
5Chicago Fire5311129310
6Columbus Crew52306339
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls52216428
8New York City FCNY City52216518
9Orlando City5212131127
10FC CincinnatiCincinnati521268-27
11DC United513179-26
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta512268-25
13New England RevolutionNew England401315-41
14Toronto5014612-61
15CF MontrealMontreal501429-71

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver5401105512
2Austin FCAustin53024319
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles53026609
4St Louis City52214138
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd52217618
6Colorado RapidsColorado522167-18
7Dallas521278-17
8Portland TimbersPortland521267-17
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes52038806
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake520359-46
11Seattle SoundersSeattle51227705
12Houston DynamoHouston502338-52
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy5023410-62
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas5014510-51
15San Diego FC00000000


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