Major League Soccer

Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Cowell (16')
Gruezo (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pukki (4')
Reynoso (39'), Boxall (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United

With only goal difference to split them in the league table, there is likely going to be very little between these two teams at the weekend in what should be a competitive match. However, the recent run of Minnesota United coupled with their strong away form could be enough for them to just edge three points here.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
50.87% ( -1.32)	23.12% ( 0.31)	26% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 58.98% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28% (

-0.51)

41.71% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88% (

-0.51)

64.11% (

0.51)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

-0.66)

16.51% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-1.19)

46.25% (

1.18)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.52)

29.34% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

0.63)

65.32% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.87%

Minnesota United 26%

Draw 23.11%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.87%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.28% Total : 26%