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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (45'), Thiare (64', 90+5')
Wiley (50'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herbers (66')
Teran (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

 With Atlanta likely to be at full strength in the attack, we expect them to tear through a Fire backline that have been rather leaky, and a striker with the quality of Giakoumakis rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.083000000000006 0.08)40.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08)62.65% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)13.65% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.83% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.01%
    Chicago Fire 20.52%
    Draw 21.47%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Atlanta
Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Przybylko (90')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta
Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')
Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218
> Full Version


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