Columbus Crew2 - 1Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.28% ( -0.08) | 20.52% ( 0.1) | 17.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0.51) | 41.18% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( -0.52) | 63.58% ( 0.52) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( -0.18) | 12.68% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.14% ( -0.37) | 38.86% ( 0.37) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( -0.33) | 37.32% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.89% ( -0.32) | 74.11% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.28% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.2% |
