Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
54.36% | 21.84% | 23.8% |
Both teams to score 61.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.1% | 37.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.85% | 60.15% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% | 13.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% | 41.49% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% | 29.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% | 64.92% |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 3.13% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-1 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |