We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Inter Miami
With time running out for them to rescue a playoff spot, Inter Miami will be desperate to get Messi back onto the pitch as soon as possible, but it may be from the bench at best in this match.
Despite winning their last match, Chicago were fortunate to benefit from a red card for their opponents, and we can envisage Inter Miami returning to winning ways themselves in midweek.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.