Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Toronto
59.44% ( 0.07)	21.57% ( 0)	18.99% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.69% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.06% (

-0.12)

42.94% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

-0.12)

65.34% (

0.12)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

-0.02)

14.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.32% (

-0.04)

41.68% (

0.04)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

-0.15)

36.35% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

-0.15)

73.13% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 59.44%

Toronto 18.99%

Draw 21.56%

Inter Miami	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.44%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.99%