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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Mosquera (10')
Rossetto (60'), Muyumba (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acosta (75'), Vazquez (80')
Nwobodo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Nashville
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati have been one of the best teams in the country so far this season, but they have been a little more suspect in some of their away matches, losing 3-0 at Columbus Crew in their last match on the road. Considering Atlanta United are in good form, winning their last two MLS games, we think Wednesday's game could end up finishing as a draw.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
56.7% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.37% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.07% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.07 -0.07)62.43% (0.073 0.07)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)41.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)32.14% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.104 -0.1)68.62% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56.7%
    FC Cincinnati 21.57%
    Draw 21.73%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
33.3%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
38.1%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Gameweek 32
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3')
Hernandez (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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