Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.76% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.38) | 53.95% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.32) | 75.4% ( 0.31) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.08) | 19.25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.13) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.07% ( -0.78) | 41.92% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% ( -0.69) | 78.37% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |