Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.