Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.