Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
59.75% ( 0.07) | 20.93% ( 0.2) | 19.33% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.52% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.51% ( -1.34) | 39.48% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.17% ( -1.41) | 61.82% ( 1.41) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.4) | 12.87% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.73% ( -0.83) | 39.27% ( 0.83) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% ( -1.05) | 33.97% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.34% ( -1.15) | 70.65% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |