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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.89% (-1.173 -1.17) 20.89% (0.242 0.24) 21.22% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.181 0.18)36.54% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.196 0.2)58.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.27 -0.27)12.47% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.576 -0.58)38.44% (0.581 0.58)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.965 0.97)30.45% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (1.133 1.13)66.66% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 57.89%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
    Draw 20.89%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
May 19, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
LA Galaxy
3-3
Minnesota Utd
Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami29196467432463
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati29174850371355
3Columbus Crew28158554282653
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City29127104741643
6New York City FCNY City29117114242040
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC29108113233-138
8Toronto30113163853-1536
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2989125347633
10DC United2989124457-1333
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2988133842-432
12Nashville SCNashville2988132944-1532
13CF MontrealMontreal29710123961-2231
14Chicago Fire3078153652-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2884163256-2428

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30167759441555
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake29148757421550
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles28147751371449
4Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
5Colorado RapidsColorado29145105650647
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver28137847361146
7Houston DynamoHouston2912984233945
8Portland TimbersPortland291271060501043
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd29116124848039
10Austin FCAustin2998123241-935
11Dallas2997134648-234
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3087154956-731
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2953213667-3118


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