Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
5 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Bouanga (6', 36', 45+1'), Tapias (46' og.), Krastev (67')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Dotson (4')
Reynoso (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United

Los Angeles have failed to score in each of their last four matches, but we can see them finding the back of the net against a Minnesota side who have not kept a clean sheet in their last six outings. We are also tipping the home side to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Minnesota United
65.13% ( -0.03)	18.7% ( 0.02)	16.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.59% (

-0.09)

34.41% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.67% (

-0.11)

56.33% (

0.1)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

-0.04)

9.94% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.12% (

-0.08)

32.88% (

0.08)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.05)

34.35% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.05)

71.05% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 65.13%

Minnesota United 16.17%

Draw 18.7%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.13%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.17%