Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
57.21% ( -0.7) | 21.29% ( 0.43) | 21.5% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 59.85% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.93% ( -1.73) | 38.06% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.67% ( -1.86) | 60.33% ( 1.86) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.83% ( -0.76) | 13.16% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.14% ( -1.57) | 39.86% ( 1.56) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.75) | 31.07% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.88) | 67.38% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |