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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Inter Miami

Cincinnati
6 - 1
Inter Miami

Kubo (10', 57'), Acosta (36'), Bucha (38'), Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Valenzuela (72')
Nwobodo (55'), Santos (90')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Krivtsov (21')
Cremaschi (54'), Weigandt (59'), Krivtsov (61'), Busquets (62')
Busquets (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Inter Miami

Inter Miami have proven they can win without Messi or Suarez but have not faced a side with as much overall talent as the Orange and Blue. Having a decisive difference-maker in Luciano Acosta available this weekend could give Cincinnati an edge against Miami in the race for first overall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawInter Miami
57.21% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7) 21.29% (0.434 0.43) 21.5% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 59.85% (-1.176 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-1.726 -1.73)38.06% (1.722 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (-1.862 -1.86)60.33% (1.858 1.86)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)13.16% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (-1.568 -1.57)39.86% (1.564 1.56)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)31.07% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.881 -0.88)67.38% (0.876 0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 57.21%
    Inter Miami 21.5%
    Draw 21.29%
FC CincinnatiDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.442 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.328 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.293 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati
53.3%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Miami
33.3%
60
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
(Aggregate 3-3 | Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties)
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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