MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 11:06:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Toronto FC

Atlanta
2 - 1
Toronto

Almada (45+2'), Thiare (90+8')
Fortune (48'), Rode Gregersen (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bernardeschi (46')
Long (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 Toronto

With many of their experienced players on international duty, Toronto have been particularly vulnerable on the back end, and we believe the Five Stripes will take advantage of that this weekend and remain unbeaten under Valentino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
62.41% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.04%17.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.012 -0.01)38.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.012 -0.01)60.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)11.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)36.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.012 -0.01)35.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.92% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 62.41%
    Toronto 17.55%
    Draw 20.04%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.55%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Toronto
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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