Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Atlanta United |
37.67% ( -3.64) | 24.82% ( 0.66) | 37.5% ( 2.98) |
Both teams to score 58.42% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( -2.79) | 44.82% ( 2.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( -2.74) | 67.18% ( 2.75) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% ( -3.01) | 23.53% ( 3.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.43% ( -4.56) | 57.57% ( 4.56) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( 0.34) | 23.61% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 0.49) | 57.7% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 1) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.77) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |