Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.