Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
1 - 1
Vancouver

Morris (9')
Vargas (36'), Paulo (43'), Tolo (89')
Tolo (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gauld (90+5' pen.)
Sartini (37'), Laborda (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Vancouver
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

Both sides are coming off difficult defeats in midweek, while neither have been consistent in the attacking third of late, which is why we project a tight match with a few chances but perhaps no one being able to break away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
50.29% ( -0.1)	24.38% ( 0.03)	25.33% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.15% (

-0.05)

47.85% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.97% (

-0.04)

70.03% (

0.04)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

-0.06)

19.05% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.36% (

-0.1)

50.64% (

0.09)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

0.04)

33.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

0.04)

69.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 50.29%

Vancouver Whitecaps 25.33%

Draw 24.38%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.29%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.33%