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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
St Louis City

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

 While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
66.89% (1.879 1.88) 19.07% (-0.212 -0.21) 14.04% (-1.667 -1.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-3.607 -3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.621 -2.62)40.85% (2.621 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.732 -2.73)63.23% (2.732 2.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.259 -0.26)11.31% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.568 -0.57)35.95% (0.569 0.57)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-3.884 -3.88)41.2% (3.884 3.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-3.634 -3.63)77.73% (3.634 3.63)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.88%
    St Louis City 14.04%
    Draw 19.07%
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% (1.06 1.06)
1-0 @ 10.15% (1.069 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.695 0.69)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.336 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.407 -0.41)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs St Louis City

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
St Louis City
5-1
Cincinnati
Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
Santos (62')
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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