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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Atlanta
2 - 2
Houston

Rios (25'), Silva (55')
Silva (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Escobar (5'), Blessing (89')
Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (44'), Ibrahim (53'), Micael (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 2 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-4 Houston Dynamo

 Houston and Atlanta have both struggled for form recently, but given the sheer number of absentees that Atlanta have to contend with it is fair to say that they could struggle on Sunday. Additionally, this fixture has a history of high-scoring encounters so fans could be in for an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
50.82% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.97% (0.044 0.04) 26.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.165 -0.16)40.86% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)63.25% (0.169 0.17)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)16.22% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.168 -0.17)45.72% (0.166 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.74% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)64.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 50.82%
    Houston Dynamo 26.2%
    Draw 22.97%
Atlanta UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Houston

Atlanta United
55.2%
Draw
13.8%
Houston Dynamo
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 22
Houston
P-P
Atlanta
Jul 18, 2019 12am
Atlanta
5-0
Houston
Nagbe (27'), Vazquez (29'), Martinez (60', 79'), Gressel (88')

Elis (6'), Vera (45'), Quioto (79')
Elis (6')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Houston
4-0
Atlanta
Wenger (5'), Senderos (23'), Manotas (27'), Ceren (45')
Seitz (61')

Gonzalez Pirez (32'), McCann (34'), Gressel (45')
May 21, 2017 12am
Atlanta
4-1
Houston
Almiron (30', 42', 80' pen.), Gressel (76')
Garza (51')
Torres (90' pen.)
DeLaGarza (54'), Machado (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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