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Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
St Louis City

Dallas
2 - 0
St Louis City

Ferreira (28' pen.), Burgess (81')
Illarramendi (45+11'), Ibeagha (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nilsson (26'), Parker (34'), Lowen (68'), Thorisson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 St Louis City

 In the midst of winless streaks, both teams will fight hard for a victory in Sunday's meeting, and we anticipate a tight contest with the hosts particularly keen to bounce back under new management. We put the two sides on a fairly level playing field and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawSt Louis City
60.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.07% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.8% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.038999999999994 0.04)63.37% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40%
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.061999999999998 0.06)35.41% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.17% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 60.13%
    St Louis City 18.8%
    Draw 21.07%
DallasDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39%
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Dallas vs St Louis City

Dallas
48.4%
Draw
41.9%
St Louis City
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-0
Dallas
Parker (15'), Totland (69'), Totland (82')
Fraser (12'), Durkin (68')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
2-1
Dallas
Markanich (82'), Theyr Thorisson (85')
Stroud (44'), Vassilev (90+4')
Ansah (90+5')
Obrian (46'), Farfan (60'), Illarramendi (67'), Quignon (75')
Paes (12')
> Preview
Jun 8, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
St Louis City
Ferreira (80'), Farfan (89')

Gioacchini (25'), Ostrak (45+2'), Parker (47'), Bartlett (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
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11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
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11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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