Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | CF Montreal |
70.68% (![]() | 17.72% (![]() | 11.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% (![]() | 40.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% (![]() | 63.03% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.72% (![]() | 10.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.34% (![]() | 33.66% (![]() |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.12% (![]() | 80.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-0 @ 11.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.5% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 4.3% Total : 70.68% | 1-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.7% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 46 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 |