Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.