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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Orlando City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
Orlando City

Tolkin (38')
Edelman (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Angulo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Orlando City

While Orlando City have avoided defeat in their last five league games, it is worth pointing out that all of those were against sides in the bottom half of the table in their respective Conferences. They now face a much stronger opponent in the Red Bulls, who are unbeaten at Red Bull Arena this season, and we feel they will extend their home record with another win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
55.34% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 23.33% (-0.311 -0.31) 21.33% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 52.68% (1.479 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (1.716 1.72)47.44% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (1.571 1.57)69.66% (-1.563 -1.56)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.61699999999999 0.62)16.99% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (1.073 1.07)47.11% (-1.066 -1.07)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (1.323 1.32)36.54% (-1.315 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (1.307 1.31)73.33% (-1.299 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.34%
    Orlando City 21.33%
    Draw 23.33%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.34%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
Orlando City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Eile (89' og.)
Angulo (75')
Morgan (21' pen.)
Stroud (44'), Reyes (45+5'), Duncan (73')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-3
Orlando City

Yearwood (30'), Reyes (45+3'), Nealis (50')
Reyes (47')
Angulo (18'), Torres (52' pen., 72')
Jansson (45+6'), Santos (90')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami29196467432463
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati29174850371355
3Columbus Crew28158554282653
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City29127104741643
6New York City FCNY City29117114242040
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC29108113233-138
8Toronto30113163853-1536
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2989125347633
10DC United2989124457-1333
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2988133842-432
12Nashville SCNashville2988132944-1532
13CF MontrealMontreal29710123961-2231
14Chicago Fire3078153652-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2884163256-2428

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30167759441555
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake29148757421550
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles28147751371449
4Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
5Colorado RapidsColorado29145105650647
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver28137847361146
7Houston DynamoHouston2912984233945
8Portland TimbersPortland291271060501043
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd29116124848039
10Austin FCAustin2998123241-935
11Dallas2997134648-234
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3087154956-731
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2953213667-3118


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