Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
1 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Bartlett (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Manoel (45+2'), Harper (52'), Morgan (57'), Burke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: DC United 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Both these sides have been in good goal-scoring from this season and are coming off positive results over the weekend. Based on recent form, this looks like a very even match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to separate the sides at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.13% ( 0.03)	23.41% ( 0.01)	24.46% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.36% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55% (

-0.08)

44.44% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

-0.07)

66.82% (

0.07)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

-0.02)

17.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

-0.03)

47.23% (

0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

-0.08)

32.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

-0.09)

68.51% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

DC United 52.13%

New York Red Bulls 24.46%

Draw 23.41%

DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.13%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.46%