Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
We said: CF Montreal 1-0 DC United
Although they failed to emerge victorious on Saturday, Montreal were a lot sharper on the back end, and we believe that Le CFM will manage to defeat a side in DC, who have not been as decisive in the attacking third of late and have rarely won away from home.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.3% . A win for DC United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%) . The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result CF Montreal Draw DC United 43.3% ( 0.31) 25.14% ( 0.01) 31.56% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.17)
52.58% ( -0.16) 47.42% ( 0.16)
30.37% ( -0.15) 69.63% ( 0.15)
78.11% ( 0.07) 21.88% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.86% ( 0.11) 55.13% ( -0.11)
71.66% ( -0.28) 28.34% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.92% ( -0.36) 64.08% ( 0.36)
CF Montreal 43.3%
DC United 31.56%
Draw 25.14%
CF Montreal Draw DC United 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.3% 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.56%
How you voted: Montreal vs DC United
45
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 13:28:43
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