Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
4 - 2
Philadelphia

Martinez (36'), Duke (56' og.), Yankov (89'), Ruan (90+2')
Ruan (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sullivan (29'), Bueno (41')
Glesnes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Philadelphia Union

Both sides have been poor throughout the domestic campaign, but lately Montreal have shown they can earn results at home, which is why we are giving them a slight edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
38.75% ( -0)	24.93% ( -0)	36.32% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

0.01)

45.38% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

0.01)

67.72% (

-0.01)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

23.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87% (

0.01)

57.12% (

-0)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.01)

24.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02% (

0.02)

58.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 38.75%

Philadelphia Union 36.32%

Draw 24.93%

CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.75%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.32%