Celta Vigo

3 - 1

Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.