La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal4 - 3Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal
Friday, August 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Friday, August 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo
Both sides have been impressive this season, and we are expecting a close game on Monday. Villarreal will have home advantage, though, and we believe that will allow the Yellow Submarine to pick up a huge three points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
44.96% ( 0.47) | 23.89% ( -0.24) | 31.15% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
