Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Celta Vigo |
38.28% ( 0.04) | 25.93% ( 0.16) | 35.79% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( -0.72) | 49.89% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( -0.65) | 71.88% ( 0.65) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.31) | 25.5% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.64% ( -0.42) | 60.35% ( 0.42) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0.46) | 26.92% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( -0.61) | 62.25% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.28% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |