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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Alaves

Swedberg (66'), Aspas (84')
Aspas (9'), Giraldez Gonzalez (61'), Rodriguez (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kike (17')
Conechny (45+2'), Rodriguez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: West Ham 8-7 Celta Vigo (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

 This has all of the makings of a very interesting match; the two teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse clash last season, while Alaves won 3-0 on home soil. Celta have been victorious in five of their last seven league meetings, though, and we are backing the hosts to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
50.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 27.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.96%
Both teams to score 41.48% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.41% (0.069000000000003 0.07)62.6% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83% (0.050999999999998 0.05)82.17% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.043999999999997 0.04)25.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.058999999999997 0.06)59.88% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (0.032 0.03)80.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 50.36%
    Alaves 21.96%
    Draw 27.66%
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 11.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.96%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

Celta Vigo
75.9%
Draw
13.8%
Alaves
10.3%
87
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Simeone (48'), Guridi (54'), Benavidez (86')
Duarte (19'), Blanco (22'), Sivera (78')

Perez (21'), Mingueza (85'), Alvarez (88')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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