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Valencia logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del VCF de Paterna Campo 4
Alaves logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-0)
Conechny (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Castellon
Saturday, July 20 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Valencia 1-1 Alaves

Both sets of players will be focused on getting valuable minutes under their belt rather than placing too much importance on the final result, and we think that these two closely-matched teams could end up playing out a draw in Wednesday's friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlaves
45.85% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 29.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)84.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.029000000000003 0.03)64.73% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.52% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.72% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 45.84%
    Alaves 24.82%
    Draw 29.31%
ValenciaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.6%
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 12.56%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.82%

Head to Head
May 5, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Valencia
0-1
Alaves

Duro (78')
Lopez (68')
Blanco (11'), Tenaglia (22'), Omorodion (77')
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
rhs 2.0
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